Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
19%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,302,433,72sigur0,33–2,271,57–3,281,90–5,55mai sigur0,08–2,521,34–3,511,42–6,03
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,816,6511,46sigur2,95–6,684,91–8,397,86–15,07mai sigur2,46–7,174,44–8,866,90–16,02
Total șuturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0517,4431,49sigur10,12–17,9713,88–21,0024,00–38,98mai sigur9,03–19,0612,92–21,9621,95–41,03
Șuturi din careu
18%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,3512,0120,36sigur5,41–11,299,33–14,6914,73–25,98mai sigur4,58–12,128,59–15,4313,17–27,55
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,044,518,55sigur2,15–5,922,86–6,165,01–12,08mai sigur1,61–6,462,36–6,653,97–13,12
Cornere
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,786,0810,86sigur2,57–7,004,08–8,086,65–15,07mai sigur1,99–7,573,55–8,615,54–16,18
Posesie %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,1857,38sigur36,39–49,9750,59–64,16mai sigur34,72–51,6448,92–65,83
Pase
14%
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție406536942sigur338–473470–603808–1076mai sigur320–491452–620772–1111
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,0476,48sigur60,01–68,0772,16–80,81mai sigur58,72–69,3670,85–82,12
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2311,6222,85sigur8,39–14,078,68–14,5717,07–28,64mai sigur7,64–14,827,93–15,3215,57–30,14
Ofsaiduri
28%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,043,53sigur0,33–2,650,94–3,131,27–5,78mai sigur0,03–2,950,66–3,420,68–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,033,76sigur0,67–2,770,90–3,161,58–5,93mai sigur0,41–3,040,61–3,451,02–6,49
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
61%
13%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,443,147,58sigur3,00–5,871,58–4,704,59–10,57mai sigur2,61–6,261,16–5,123,77–11,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,27 0,08–2,52 | 2,43 1,57–3,28 1,34–3,51 | 3,72 1,90–5,55 1,42–6,03 | 19% 19% 62% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,81 2,95–6,68 2,46–7,17 | 6,65 4,91–8,39 4,44–8,86 | 11,46 7,86–15,07 6,90–16,02 | 24% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 14,05 10,12–17,97 9,03–19,06 | 17,44 13,88–21,00 12,92–21,96 | 31,49 24,00–38,98 21,95–41,03 | 24% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,35 5,41–11,29 4,58–12,12 | 12,01 9,33–14,69 8,59–15,43 | 20,36 14,73–25,98 13,17–27,55 | 18% 76% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,04 2,15–5,92 1,61–6,46 | 4,51 2,86–6,16 2,36–6,65 | 8,55 5,01–12,08 3,97–13,12 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 4,78 2,57–7,00 1,99–7,57 | 6,08 4,08–8,08 3,55–8,61 | 10,86 6,65–15,07 5,54–16,18 | 29% 59% |
| Posesie % | 43,18 36,39–49,97 34,72–51,64 | 57,38 50,59–64,16 48,92–65,83 | — | 18% 78% |
| Pase | 406 338–473 320–491 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 942 808–1076 772–1111 | 14% 86% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,04 60,01–68,07 58,72–69,36 | 76,48 72,16–80,81 70,85–82,12 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 11,23 8,39–14,07 7,64–14,82 | 11,62 8,68–14,57 7,93–15,32 | 22,85 17,07–28,64 15,57–30,14 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,03–2,95 | 2,04 0,94–3,13 0,66–3,42 | 3,53 1,27–5,78 0,68–6,37 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,67–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 2,03 0,90–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,76 1,58–5,93 1,02–6,49 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,44 3,00–5,87 2,61–6,26 | 3,14 1,58–4,70 1,16–5,12 | 7,58 4,59–10,57 3,77–11,38 | 61% 13% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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