Bundesliga·Etapa 22·
Bundesliga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,831,063,88sigur1,86–3,790,20–1,912,06–5,71mai sigur1,61–4,040,00–2,141,58–6,19
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,293,9012,19sigur6,43–10,152,16–5,648,59–15,80mai sigur5,94–10,641,69–6,117,63–16,75
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție22,7811,3434,12sigur18,85–26,707,77–14,9026,63–41,60mai sigur17,76–27,796,82–15,8624,58–43,65
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,087,7222,80sigur12,14–18,025,04–10,4017,18–28,42mai sigur11,31–18,854,30–11,1415,61–29,99
Șuturi blocate
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,453,188,63sigur3,57–7,331,52–4,835,09–12,16mai sigur3,02–7,881,03–5,324,06–13,20
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,773,8111,58sigur5,55–9,981,81–5,817,37–15,79mai sigur4,98–10,561,28–6,356,26–16,90
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,1640,10sigur53,37–66,9533,31–46,88mai sigur51,70–68,6231,64–48,55
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție596382978sigur529–663315–448844–1111mai sigur511–681298–466808–1147
Precizie pase %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,4070,18sigur71,37–79,4365,85–74,50mai sigur70,08–80,7264,54–75,81
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7811,5322,31sigur7,94–13,628,58–14,4716,53–28,09mai sigur7,19–14,377,83–15,2215,02–29,59
Ofsaiduri
57%
20%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,261,373,64sigur1,10–3,420,28–2,471,38–5,89mai sigur0,80–3,720,00–2,760,79–6,48
Cartonașe galbene
28%
23%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,823,14sigur0,27–2,370,69–2,950,96–5,32mai sigur0,00–2,640,40–3,240,40–5,88
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,535,157,67sigur1,09–3,963,59–6,704,68–10,67mai sigur0,70–4,353,17–7,133,87–11,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,83 1,86–3,79 1,61–4,04 | 1,06 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 3,88 2,06–5,71 1,58–6,19 | 74% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,29 6,43–10,15 5,94–10,64 | 3,90 2,16–5,64 1,69–6,11 | 12,19 8,59–15,80 7,63–16,75 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 22,78 18,85–26,70 17,76–27,79 | 11,34 7,77–14,90 6,82–15,86 | 34,12 26,63–41,60 24,58–43,65 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 15,08 12,14–18,02 11,31–18,85 | 7,72 5,04–10,40 4,30–11,14 | 22,80 17,18–28,42 15,61–29,99 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,45 3,57–7,33 3,02–7,88 | 3,18 1,52–4,83 1,03–5,32 | 8,63 5,09–12,16 4,06–13,20 | 73% 17% |
| Cornere | 7,77 5,55–9,98 4,98–10,56 | 3,81 1,81–5,81 1,28–6,35 | 11,58 7,37–15,79 6,26–16,90 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 60,16 53,37–66,95 51,70–68,62 | 40,10 33,31–46,88 31,64–48,55 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 596 529–663 511–681 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,40 71,37–79,43 70,08–80,72 | 70,18 65,85–74,50 64,54–75,81 | — | 73% 23% |
| Faulturi | 10,78 7,94–13,62 7,19–14,37 | 11,53 8,58–14,47 7,83–15,22 | 22,31 16,53–28,09 15,02–29,59 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,26 1,10–3,42 0,80–3,72 | 1,37 0,28–2,47 0,00–2,76 | 3,64 1,38–5,89 0,79–6,48 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,32 0,27–2,37 0,00–2,64 | 1,82 0,69–2,95 0,40–3,24 | 3,14 0,96–5,32 0,40–5,88 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,09–3,96 0,70–4,35 | 5,15 3,59–6,70 3,17–7,13 | 7,67 4,68–10,67 3,87–11,48 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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