Cupa Germaniei·Șaisprezecimi de finală·
Cupa Germaniei·Șaisprezecimi de finală·Statistici estimate
Goluri
20%
18%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,382,523,91sigur0,41–2,351,67–3,382,08–5,73mai sigur0,16–2,601,44–3,611,60–6,21
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,976,8011,77sigur3,11–6,835,06–8,548,16–15,37mai sigur2,62–7,324,59–9,017,21–16,33
Total șuturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1917,2231,42sigur10,27–18,1213,66–20,7823,93–38,90mai sigur9,18–19,2112,70–21,7421,88–40,95
Șuturi din careu
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4811,9520,43sigur5,53–11,429,27–14,6314,80–26,05mai sigur4,70–12,258,53–15,3713,24–27,62
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,054,528,56sigur2,16–5,932,86–6,175,03–12,10mai sigur1,62–6,472,37–6,663,99–13,13
Cornere
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,786,0510,83sigur2,57–7,004,05–8,056,61–15,04mai sigur2,00–7,573,51–8,585,51–16,15
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,1857,15sigur36,39–49,9750,36–63,93mai sigur34,72–51,6448,69–65,60
Pase
14%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție416543959sigur349–483476–609825–1093mai sigur331–502459–627790–1128
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,8776,66sigur60,84–68,9072,34–80,99mai sigur59,55–70,1971,03–82,30
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8911,3222,21sigur8,05–13,738,38–14,2716,43–27,99mai sigur7,29–14,487,63–15,0214,92–29,50
Ofsaiduri
29%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,003,49sigur0,33–2,650,91–3,091,24–5,74mai sigur0,03–2,950,62–3,380,65–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,773,31sigur0,49–2,590,64–2,891,13–5,49mai sigur0,23–2,860,35–3,190,57–6,04
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
62%
13%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,503,167,66sigur3,06–5,931,60–4,714,66–10,65mai sigur2,67–6,321,18–5,143,85–11,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 2,52 1,67–3,38 1,44–3,61 | 3,91 2,08–5,73 1,60–6,21 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,97 3,11–6,83 2,62–7,32 | 6,80 5,06–8,54 4,59–9,01 | 11,77 8,16–15,37 7,21–16,33 | 25% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 14,19 10,27–18,12 9,18–19,21 | 17,22 13,66–20,78 12,70–21,74 | 31,42 23,93–38,90 21,88–40,95 | 26% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,48 5,53–11,42 4,70–12,25 | 11,95 9,27–14,63 8,53–15,37 | 20,43 14,80–26,05 13,24–27,62 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,05 2,16–5,93 1,62–6,47 | 4,52 2,86–6,17 2,37–6,66 | 8,56 5,03–12,10 3,99–13,13 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 4,78 2,57–7,00 2,00–7,57 | 6,05 4,05–8,05 3,51–8,58 | 10,83 6,61–15,04 5,51–16,15 | 29% 59% |
| Posesie % | 43,18 36,39–49,97 34,72–51,64 | 57,15 50,36–63,93 48,69–65,60 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 416 349–483 331–502 | 543 476–609 459–627 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 14% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,87 60,84–68,90 59,55–70,19 | 76,66 72,34–80,99 71,03–82,30 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,05–13,73 7,29–14,48 | 11,32 8,38–14,27 7,63–15,02 | 22,21 16,43–27,99 14,92–29,50 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,03–2,95 | 2,00 0,91–3,09 0,62–3,38 | 3,49 1,24–5,74 0,65–6,33 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,77 0,64–2,89 0,35–3,19 | 3,31 1,13–5,49 0,57–6,04 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,50 3,06–5,93 2,67–6,32 | 3,16 1,60–4,71 1,18–5,14 | 7,66 4,66–10,65 3,85–11,46 | 62% 13% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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