Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.252.40safe0.18–2.120.39–2.100.58–4.22safer0.00–2.370.17–2.330.10–4.70
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.674.588.25safe1.81–5.532.84–6.324.64–11.85safer1.32–6.022.37–6.793.69–12.81
Total shots
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8613.0023.86safe6.93–14.789.44–16.5616.37–31.34safer5.84–15.888.48–17.5214.32–33.40
Shots in box
29%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction6.558.1414.69safe3.61–9.495.45–10.829.06–20.31safer2.78–10.324.72–11.557.50–21.88
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.156.12safe1.09–4.851.50–4.802.58–9.65safer0.54–5.391.00–5.301.55–10.69
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.5510.72safe2.96–7.383.55–7.556.50–14.93safer2.38–7.963.01–8.085.40–16.04
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.6954.11safe38.90–52.4847.33–60.90safer37.23–54.1545.66–62.57
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction409482891safe342–477416–548758–1025safer324–495398–566722–1061
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction64.6771.13safe60.64–68.7066.80–75.45safer59.35–69.9965.49–76.76
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2012.5023.69safe8.36–14.039.55–15.4417.91–29.47safer7.60–14.798.80–16.1916.40–30.98
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.773.89safe0.96–3.280.68–2.861.64–6.14safer0.66–3.580.39–3.151.05–6.73
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.073.89safe0.77–2.870.94–3.201.71–6.07safer0.50–3.130.65–3.491.15–6.62
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.545.55safe1.58–4.450.98–4.092.56–8.54safer1.19–4.840.56–4.521.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.40 0.58–4.22 0.10–4.70 | 34% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.67 1.81–5.53 1.32–6.02 | 4.58 2.84–6.32 2.37–6.79 | 8.25 4.64–11.85 3.69–12.81 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 10.86 6.93–14.78 5.84–15.88 | 13.00 9.44–16.56 8.48–17.52 | 23.86 16.37–31.34 14.32–33.40 | 29% 63% |
| Shots in box | 6.55 3.61–9.49 2.78–10.32 | 8.14 5.45–10.82 4.72–11.55 | 14.69 9.06–20.31 7.50–21.88 | 29% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.00–5.30 | 6.12 2.58–9.65 1.55–10.69 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.01–8.08 | 10.72 6.50–14.93 5.40–16.04 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 45.69 38.90–52.48 37.23–54.15 | 54.11 47.33–60.90 45.66–62.57 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 409 342–477 324–495 | 482 416–548 398–566 | 891 758–1025 722–1061 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.67 60.64–68.70 59.35–69.99 | 71.13 66.80–75.45 65.49–76.76 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 12.50 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 23.69 17.91–29.47 16.40–30.98 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.75–9.36 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+