Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.042.67safe0.66–2.600.18–1.890.84–4.49safer0.41–2.850.00–2.120.36–4.97
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.288.30safe3.15–6.871.54–5.034.69–11.90safer2.66–7.361.08–5.493.74–12.86
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5410.9226.46safe11.61–19.467.36–14.4918.98–33.95safer10.52–20.566.40–15.4416.92–36.00
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.616.7116.32safe6.67–12.554.03–9.3910.70–21.94safer5.84–13.383.29–10.139.13–23.51
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.237.64safe2.52–6.291.58–4.884.10–11.17safer1.98–6.831.09–5.383.07–12.21
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.2310.33safe3.88–8.312.23–6.236.11–14.54safer3.31–8.881.70–6.765.00–15.65
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0645.35safe48.27–61.8538.56–52.13safer46.60–63.5236.89–53.80
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction515382898safe448–582316–449764–1031safer430–601298–466728–1067
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction68.2367.12safe64.20–72.2662.80–71.44safer62.91–73.5661.49–72.75
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0312.5224.55safe9.19–14.879.57–15.4618.76–30.33safer8.44–15.628.82–16.2117.26–31.83
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.003.66safe0.50–2.820.91–3.091.41–5.92safer0.20–3.130.62–3.380.82–6.51
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.933.86safe0.88–2.970.80–3.061.68–6.03safer0.61–3.240.51–3.351.12–6.59
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.285.44safe0.73–3.601.72–4.832.45–8.44safer0.34–3.991.30–5.261.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.67 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.87 2.66–7.36 | 3.28 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.49 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.54 11.61–19.46 10.52–20.56 | 10.92 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.44 | 26.46 18.98–33.95 16.92–36.00 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.55 5.84–13.38 | 6.71 4.03–9.39 3.29–10.13 | 16.32 10.70–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.09–5.38 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.88–8.31 3.31–8.88 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.76 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.65 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 55.06 48.27–61.85 46.60–63.52 | 45.35 38.56–52.13 36.89–53.80 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 430–601 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 898 764–1031 728–1067 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.23 64.20–72.26 62.91–73.56 | 67.12 62.80–71.44 61.49–72.75 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.19–14.87 8.44–15.62 | 12.52 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 24.55 18.76–30.33 17.26–31.83 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 5.44 2.45–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+