Premiership·Regular Season - 13·
Premiership·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.802.82safe1.05–2.990.00–1.650.99–4.64safer0.80–3.240.00–1.880.52–5.12
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.162.929.09safe4.30–8.031.18–4.675.48–12.69safer3.81–8.520.72–5.134.53–13.65
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.029.1326.14safe13.09–20.945.56–12.6918.66–33.63safer12.00–22.034.60–13.6516.61–35.68
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.965.8217.78safe9.02–14.903.14–8.5012.15–23.40safer8.19–15.732.40–9.2410.59–24.97
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.007.70safe2.81–6.581.35–4.654.16–11.23safer2.27–7.120.86–5.153.13–12.27
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.7510.25safe4.28–8.711.75–5.756.04–14.46safer3.71–9.281.22–6.294.93–15.57
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.9744.61safe49.18–62.7637.82–51.39safer47.51–64.4336.15–53.06
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction503392896safe436–570326–459762–1029safer418–588309–476726–1065
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction71.3668.39safe67.34–75.3964.07–72.71safer66.04–76.6962.76–74.02
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8813.3526.23safe10.04–15.7210.40–16.2920.45–32.01safer9.29–16.489.66–17.0418.94–33.52
Offsides
51%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.182.94safe0.60–2.920.09–2.270.68–5.19safer0.29–3.220.00–2.560.09–5.78
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.604.10safe0.45–2.551.47–3.731.92–6.28safer0.18–2.811.18–4.021.36–6.84
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.83
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.926.04safe0.68–3.562.36–5.473.04–9.03safer0.30–3.941.93–5.902.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.03 3.81–8.52 | 2.92 1.18–4.67 0.72–5.13 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.53–13.65 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.09–20.94 12.00–22.03 | 9.13 5.56–12.69 4.60–13.65 | 26.14 18.66–33.63 16.61–35.68 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.02–14.90 8.19–15.73 | 5.82 3.14–8.50 2.40–9.24 | 17.78 12.15–23.40 10.59–24.97 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.81–6.58 2.27–7.12 | 3.00 1.35–4.65 0.86–5.15 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.28–8.71 3.71–9.28 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.29 | 10.25 6.04–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.97 49.18–62.76 47.51–64.43 | 44.61 37.82–51.39 36.15–53.06 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 418–588 | 392 326–459 309–476 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.34–75.39 66.04–76.69 | 68.39 64.07–72.71 62.76–74.02 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.04–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 13.35 10.40–16.29 9.66–17.04 | 26.23 20.45–32.01 18.94–33.52 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.29–3.22 | 1.18 0.09–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.94 0.68–5.19 0.09–5.78 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.84 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.56 0.30–3.94 | 3.92 2.36–5.47 1.93–5.90 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.