Premiership·Regular Season - 24·
Premiership·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.732.80safe0.10–2.040.87–2.580.98–4.62safer0.00–2.290.65–2.810.50–5.10
Shots on target
29%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.604.658.25safe1.74–5.472.90–6.394.64–11.85safer1.25–5.962.44–6.853.69–12.81
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3013.2124.51safe7.37–15.229.65–16.7817.02–32.00safer6.28–16.318.69–17.7414.97–34.05
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.699.1015.80safe3.75–9.646.42–11.7810.17–21.42safer2.92–10.475.68–12.528.61–22.99
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.817.10safe1.41–5.172.15–5.463.56–10.63safer0.87–5.721.66–5.952.53–11.67
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.565.209.76safe2.34–6.773.20–7.205.54–13.97safer1.77–7.342.67–7.734.44–15.08
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.7253.10safe40.93–54.5146.32–59.89safer39.26–56.1844.65–61.56
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction417442859safe349–484376–509725–993safer331–502358–526690–1028
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction62.2570.69safe58.22–66.2866.37–75.01safer56.93–67.5765.06–76.32
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5313.7727.30safe10.70–16.3710.83–16.7221.52–33.09safer9.94–17.1310.08–17.4620.02–34.59
Offsides
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.743.12safe0.21–2.540.65–2.830.86–5.37safer0.00–2.840.36–3.120.27–5.96
Yellow cards
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.094.14safe1.01–3.100.96–3.211.96–6.32safer0.74–3.370.67–3.511.41–6.88
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.575.94safe1.93–4.801.02–4.132.95–8.93safer1.54–5.190.59–4.552.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.73 0.87–2.58 0.65–2.81 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.74–5.47 1.25–5.96 | 4.65 2.90–6.39 2.44–6.85 | 8.25 4.64–11.85 3.69–12.81 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.30 7.37–15.22 6.28–16.31 | 13.21 9.65–16.78 8.69–17.74 | 24.51 17.02–32.00 14.97–34.05 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.69 3.75–9.64 2.92–10.47 | 9.10 6.42–11.78 5.68–12.52 | 15.80 10.17–21.42 8.61–22.99 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.17 0.87–5.72 | 3.81 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.34–6.77 1.77–7.34 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.73 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 47.72 40.93–54.51 39.26–56.18 | 53.10 46.32–59.89 44.65–61.56 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 417 349–484 331–502 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.25 58.22–66.28 56.93–67.57 | 70.69 66.37–75.01 65.06–76.32 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.53 10.70–16.37 9.94–17.13 | 13.77 10.83–16.72 10.08–17.46 | 27.30 21.52–33.09 20.02–34.59 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.21–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.09 0.96–3.21 0.67–3.51 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.57 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.75 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.