Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.862.92safe1.09–3.030.01–1.721.10–4.75safer0.84–3.280.00–1.940.62–5.23
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.382.989.36safe4.51–8.241.24–4.735.76–12.97safer4.02–8.730.78–5.194.80–13.92
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.669.0226.68safe13.74–21.595.46–12.5819.20–34.17safer12.65–22.684.50–13.5417.15–36.22
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.966.0317.99safe9.02–14.903.35–8.7112.37–23.62safer8.19–15.732.61–9.4510.80–25.18
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.102.357.45safe3.22–6.980.70–4.003.91–10.98safer2.67–7.530.20–4.492.88–12.02
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.643.7110.35safe4.42–8.851.71–5.716.14–14.56safer3.85–9.421.18–6.255.03–15.67
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.1644.96safe47.37–60.9538.18–51.75safer45.70–62.6236.51–53.42
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction490408899safe423–558342–475765–1032safer405–576324–492729–1068
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.8168.38safe65.78–73.8464.05–72.70safer64.49–75.1362.75–74.01
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0212.7125.73safe10.18–15.869.77–15.6619.95–31.51safer9.43–16.619.02–16.4018.44–33.02
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.593.46safe0.71–3.030.50–2.681.21–5.71safer0.41–3.330.21–2.970.62–6.30
Yellow cards
24%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.474.03safe0.51–2.611.34–3.601.85–6.21safer0.25–2.881.05–3.891.30–6.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.476.84safe0.94–3.812.91–6.023.85–9.83safer0.55–4.202.49–6.453.04–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.94 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.38 4.51–8.24 4.02–8.73 | 2.98 1.24–4.73 0.78–5.19 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.66 13.74–21.59 12.65–22.68 | 9.02 5.46–12.58 4.50–13.54 | 26.68 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.02–14.90 8.19–15.73 | 6.03 3.35–8.71 2.61–9.45 | 17.99 12.37–23.62 10.80–25.18 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.22–6.98 2.67–7.53 | 2.35 0.70–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.42–8.85 3.85–9.42 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.25 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 54.16 47.37–60.95 45.70–62.62 | 44.96 38.18–51.75 36.51–53.42 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 490 423–558 405–576 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.81 65.78–73.84 64.49–75.13 | 68.38 64.05–72.70 62.75–74.01 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 13.02 10.18–15.86 9.43–16.61 | 12.71 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.40 | 25.73 19.95–31.51 18.44–33.02 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 24% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.47 2.91–6.02 2.49–6.45 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.04–10.65 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.