Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.552.86safe0.34–2.270.70–2.411.04–4.68safer0.09–2.530.47–2.630.56–5.16
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.109.31safe2.35–6.083.36–6.845.71–12.92safer1.86–6.572.89–7.314.75–13.87
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5613.6526.21safe8.63–16.4810.09–17.2218.72–33.70safer7.54–17.579.13–18.1816.67–35.75
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.778.6616.44safe4.83–10.725.98–11.3410.81–22.06safer4.00–11.545.25–12.089.25–23.63
Blocked shots
33%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.726.83safe1.23–4.992.07–5.373.30–10.37safer0.68–5.541.58–5.872.26–11.40
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.919.80safe2.68–7.112.91–6.915.59–14.01safer2.10–7.682.37–7.444.48–15.12
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5356.74safe36.74–50.3349.96–63.53safer35.08–51.9948.29–65.20
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction383481864safe316–450414–547730–997safer298–468397–565694–1033
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction66.1075.36safe62.07–70.1371.04–79.69safer60.78–71.4269.73–81.00
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2511.7223.97safe9.41–15.088.78–14.6718.19–29.75safer8.65–15.848.03–15.4116.68–31.25
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.493.40safe0.75–3.070.40–2.581.14–5.65safer0.45–3.370.11–2.870.55–6.24
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.104.11safe0.96–3.060.97–3.231.93–6.28safer0.69–3.320.68–3.521.37–6.84
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.956.38safe1.99–4.861.40–4.513.39–9.37safer1.60–5.250.97–4.942.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.63 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 5.10 3.36–6.84 2.89–7.31 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.56 8.63–16.48 7.54–17.57 | 13.65 10.09–17.22 9.13–18.18 | 26.21 18.72–33.70 16.67–35.75 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.54 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.25–12.08 | 16.44 10.81–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.54 | 3.72 2.07–5.37 1.58–5.87 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 33% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.11 2.10–7.68 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.37–7.44 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 43.53 36.74–50.33 35.08–51.99 | 56.74 49.96–63.53 48.29–65.20 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 298–468 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.10 62.07–70.13 60.78–71.42 | 75.36 71.04–79.69 69.73–81.00 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 11.72 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.41 | 23.97 18.19–29.75 16.68–31.25 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.