Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.182.96safe0.81–2.750.32–2.031.13–4.78safer0.56–3.000.09–2.260.65–5.26
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.799.77safe4.12–7.852.04–5.536.17–13.38safer3.63–8.341.58–5.995.21–14.33
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0610.6727.73safe13.13–20.987.11–14.2420.24–35.22safer12.04–22.076.15–15.1918.19–37.27
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.366.5816.94safe7.41–13.303.90–9.2611.32–22.56safer6.58–14.133.16–10.009.75–24.13
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.526.68safe2.28–6.040.87–4.183.15–10.22safer1.73–6.580.38–4.672.11–11.25
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.879.72safe3.64–8.061.87–5.875.51–13.94safer3.06–8.641.34–6.414.40–15.05
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.9540.44safe53.16–66.7433.66–47.23safer51.49–68.4131.99–48.90
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction529361890safe462–596295–428757–1024safer444–614277–445721–1060
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction75.5069.25safe71.47–79.5364.93–73.57safer70.18–80.8263.62–74.88
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3213.1824.51safe8.49–14.1610.24–16.1318.72–30.29safer7.73–14.929.49–16.8817.22–31.79
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.833.47safe0.49–2.810.73–2.921.22–5.73safer0.18–3.110.44–3.210.63–6.32
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.243.99safe0.70–2.801.11–3.371.81–6.16safer0.43–3.060.82–3.661.25–6.72
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.996.62safe1.20–4.072.43–5.543.63–9.61safer0.81–4.462.00–5.972.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 51% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.12–7.85 3.63–8.34 | 3.79 2.04–5.53 1.58–5.99 | 9.77 6.17–13.38 5.21–14.33 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.06 13.13–20.98 12.04–22.07 | 10.67 7.11–14.24 6.15–15.19 | 27.73 20.24–35.22 18.19–37.27 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.41–13.30 6.58–14.13 | 6.58 3.90–9.26 3.16–10.00 | 16.94 11.32–22.56 9.75–24.13 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.68 3.15–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.06 3.06–8.64 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.41 | 9.72 5.51–13.94 4.40–15.05 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.95 53.16–66.74 51.49–68.41 | 40.44 33.66–47.23 31.99–48.90 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 444–614 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.50 71.47–79.53 70.18–80.82 | 69.25 64.93–73.57 63.62–74.88 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 13.18 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 24.51 18.72–30.29 17.22–31.79 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.18–3.11 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.99 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.99 2.43–5.54 2.00–5.97 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.