Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.490.953.44safe1.52–3.460.10–1.811.62–5.27safer1.27–3.710.00–2.031.14–5.74
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.349.93safe4.73–8.451.60–5.086.33–13.54safer4.24–8.941.13–5.555.37–14.49
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.619.3126.92safe13.68–21.535.75–12.8719.43–34.40safer12.59–22.624.79–13.8317.38–36.45
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.486.0618.54safe9.53–15.423.38–8.7412.92–24.16safer8.70–16.252.64–9.4811.35–25.73
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.617.84safe3.35–7.110.96–4.264.30–11.38safer2.81–7.660.46–4.753.27–12.41
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.299.94safe4.44–8.861.29–5.295.72–14.15safer3.86–9.440.75–5.824.62–15.26
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.6043.05safe50.81–64.3936.26–49.83safer49.14–66.0634.59–51.50
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction553428981safe486–620361–494847–1115safer468–639344–512812–1150
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction76.4972.94safe72.46–80.5268.62–77.26safer71.17–81.8167.31–78.57
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9610.9920.95safe7.12–12.808.05–13.9415.17–26.74safer6.37–13.557.30–14.6913.67–28.24
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.233.76safe0.37–2.691.14–3.321.51–6.02safer0.07–2.990.85–3.610.92–6.61
Yellow cards
23%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.043.31safe0.22–2.320.91–3.171.13–5.48safer0.00–2.580.62–3.460.57–6.04
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.244.276.51safe0.81–3.682.71–5.833.52–9.51safer0.42–4.072.29–6.252.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.49 1.52–3.46 1.27–3.71 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 3.44 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.74 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.73–8.45 4.24–8.94 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 9.93 6.33–13.54 5.37–14.49 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.61 13.68–21.53 12.59–22.62 | 9.31 5.75–12.87 4.79–13.83 | 26.92 19.43–34.40 17.38–36.45 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.48 9.53–15.42 8.70–16.25 | 6.06 3.38–8.74 2.64–9.48 | 18.54 12.92–24.16 11.35–25.73 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.11 2.81–7.66 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 7.84 4.30–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.86 3.86–9.44 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.75–5.82 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 82% |
| Possession % | 57.60 50.81–64.39 49.14–66.06 | 43.05 36.26–49.83 34.59–51.50 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 553 486–620 468–639 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.49 72.46–80.52 71.17–81.81 | 72.94 68.62–77.26 67.31–78.57 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.80 6.37–13.55 | 10.99 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 20.95 15.17–26.74 13.67–28.24 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.58 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 23% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.27 2.71–5.83 2.29–6.25 | 6.51 3.52–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+