Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.313.64safe0.37–2.311.45–3.161.82–5.47safer0.12–2.561.22–3.391.34–5.95
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.956.1410.09safe2.09–5.824.39–7.886.48–13.69safer1.60–6.313.93–8.345.53–14.65
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0015.5427.54safe8.08–15.9211.97–19.1020.05–35.02safer6.98–17.0211.02–20.0618.00–37.08
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4111.2518.66safe4.47–10.358.57–13.9313.04–24.28safer3.64–11.187.83–14.6711.47–25.85
Blocked shots
26%
13%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.194.477.67safe1.31–5.082.82–6.134.13–11.20safer0.77–5.622.33–6.623.10–12.24
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.7110.03safe2.10–6.533.71–7.715.81–14.24safer1.53–7.103.18–8.254.71–15.35
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.7355.60safe38.94–52.5248.82–62.39safer37.27–54.1947.14–64.06
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction451533984safe384–518467–599850–1118safer366–536449–617815–1153
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction69.6376.52safe65.60–73.6672.19–80.84safer64.31–74.9570.88–82.15
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6710.5821.24safe7.83–13.507.63–13.5215.46–27.03safer7.07–14.266.89–14.2713.96–28.53
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.583.69safe0.94–3.260.49–2.681.43–5.94safer0.64–3.560.20–2.970.84–6.53
Yellow cards
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.673.15safe0.43–2.530.54–2.800.97–5.33safer0.16–2.800.25–3.090.42–5.89
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.826.61safe2.35–5.231.26–4.373.61–9.60safer1.97–5.610.83–4.802.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 2.31 1.45–3.16 1.22–3.39 | 3.64 1.82–5.47 1.34–5.95 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.82 1.60–6.31 | 6.14 4.39–7.88 3.93–8.34 | 10.09 6.48–13.69 5.53–14.65 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.00 8.08–15.92 6.98–17.02 | 15.54 11.97–19.10 11.02–20.06 | 27.54 20.05–35.02 18.00–37.08 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.41 4.47–10.35 3.64–11.18 | 11.25 8.57–13.93 7.83–14.67 | 18.66 13.04–24.28 11.47–25.85 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 4.47 2.82–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 26% 13% 61% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.53 1.53–7.10 | 5.71 3.71–7.71 3.18–8.25 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.73 38.94–52.52 37.27–54.19 | 55.60 48.82–62.39 47.14–64.06 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–536 | 533 467–599 449–617 | 984 850–1118 815–1153 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.63 65.60–73.66 64.31–74.95 | 76.52 72.19–80.84 70.88–82.15 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 10.58 7.63–13.52 6.89–14.27 | 21.24 15.46–27.03 13.96–28.53 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.69 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.80 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.35–5.23 1.97–5.61 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.80 | 6.61 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.