DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.491.003.48safe1.52–3.450.14–1.851.66–5.31safer1.27–3.710.00–2.081.18–5.79
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.4710.16safe4.82–8.551.73–5.226.56–13.77safer4.34–9.041.27–5.685.60–14.72
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.139.7527.88safe14.20–22.056.19–13.3220.40–35.37safer13.11–23.145.23–14.2818.34–37.42
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.546.1918.73safe9.60–15.483.51–8.8713.10–24.35safer8.77–16.312.77–9.6111.54–25.92
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.637.86safe3.35–7.110.98–4.284.33–11.40safer2.81–7.660.49–4.783.29–12.43
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.643.279.91safe4.43–8.861.27–5.275.70–14.13safer3.86–9.430.74–5.804.59–15.23
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.9042.65safe51.11–64.6935.86–49.43safer49.44–66.3634.19–51.10
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction568431999safe500–635365–498865–1133safer482–653347–515830–1168
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction77.1673.22safe73.13–81.1968.89–77.54safer71.84–82.4867.58–78.85
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8010.6420.44safe6.96–12.647.70–13.5914.66–26.23safer6.21–13.396.95–14.3413.16–27.73
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.143.67safe0.37–2.691.05–3.231.41–5.92safer0.07–2.990.76–3.520.82–6.51
Yellow cards
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.772.95safe0.13–2.230.64–2.900.77–5.13safer0.00–2.490.35–3.190.21–5.69
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.344.266.60safe0.90–3.772.71–5.823.61–9.59safer0.51–4.162.28–6.242.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.49 1.52–3.45 1.27–3.71 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.48 1.66–5.31 1.18–5.79 | 70% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.82–8.55 4.34–9.04 | 3.47 1.73–5.22 1.27–5.68 | 10.16 6.56–13.77 5.60–14.72 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.13 14.20–22.05 13.11–23.14 | 9.75 6.19–13.32 5.23–14.28 | 27.88 20.40–35.37 18.34–37.42 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.54 9.60–15.48 8.77–16.31 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 18.73 13.10–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.11 2.81–7.66 | 2.63 0.98–4.28 0.49–4.78 | 7.86 4.33–11.40 3.29–12.43 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 3.27 1.27–5.27 0.74–5.80 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 82% |
| Possession % | 57.90 51.11–64.69 49.44–66.36 | 42.65 35.86–49.43 34.19–51.10 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 568 500–635 482–653 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 999 865–1133 830–1168 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.16 73.13–81.19 71.84–82.48 | 73.22 68.89–77.54 67.58–78.85 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.80 6.96–12.64 6.21–13.39 | 10.64 7.70–13.59 6.95–14.34 | 20.44 14.66–26.23 13.16–27.73 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.49 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 2.95 0.77–5.13 0.21–5.69 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 4.26 2.71–5.82 2.28–6.24 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.41 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+