Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
19%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.433.72safe0.33–2.271.57–3.281.90–5.55safer0.08–2.521.34–3.511.42–6.03
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.816.6511.46safe2.95–6.684.91–8.397.86–15.07safer2.46–7.174.44–8.866.90–16.02
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0517.4431.49safe10.12–17.9713.88–21.0024.00–38.98safer9.03–19.0612.92–21.9621.95–41.03
Shots in box
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3512.0120.36safe5.41–11.299.33–14.6914.73–25.98safer4.58–12.128.59–15.4313.17–27.55
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.518.55safe2.15–5.922.86–6.165.01–12.08safer1.61–6.462.36–6.653.97–13.12
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.786.0810.86safe2.57–7.004.08–8.086.65–15.07safer1.99–7.573.55–8.615.54–16.18
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction43.1857.38safe36.39–49.9750.59–64.16safer34.72–51.6448.92–65.83
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction406536942safe338–473470–603808–1076safer320–491452–620772–1111
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.0476.48safe60.01–68.0772.16–80.81safer58.72–69.3670.85–82.12
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2311.6222.85safe8.39–14.078.68–14.5717.07–28.64safer7.64–14.827.93–15.3215.57–30.14
Offsides
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.043.53safe0.33–2.650.94–3.131.27–5.78safer0.03–2.950.66–3.420.68–6.37
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.033.76safe0.67–2.770.90–3.161.58–5.93safer0.41–3.040.61–3.451.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
61%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.147.58safe3.00–5.871.58–4.704.59–10.57safer2.61–6.261.16–5.123.77–11.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 2.43 1.57–3.28 1.34–3.51 | 3.72 1.90–5.55 1.42–6.03 | 19% 19% 62% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 6.65 4.91–8.39 4.44–8.86 | 11.46 7.86–15.07 6.90–16.02 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 17.44 13.88–21.00 12.92–21.96 | 31.49 24.00–38.98 21.95–41.03 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 8.35 5.41–11.29 4.58–12.12 | 12.01 9.33–14.69 8.59–15.43 | 20.36 14.73–25.98 13.17–27.55 | 18% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.15–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.36–6.65 | 8.55 5.01–12.08 3.97–13.12 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–7.00 1.99–7.57 | 6.08 4.08–8.08 3.55–8.61 | 10.86 6.65–15.07 5.54–16.18 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 43.18 36.39–49.97 34.72–51.64 | 57.38 50.59–64.16 48.92–65.83 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 942 808–1076 772–1111 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.04 60.01–68.07 58.72–69.36 | 76.48 72.16–80.81 70.85–82.12 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.07 7.64–14.82 | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 22.85 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 2.04 0.94–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.76 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.00–5.87 2.61–6.26 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 7.58 4.59–10.57 3.77–11.38 | 61% 13% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.