DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.523.91safe0.41–2.351.67–3.382.08–5.73safer0.16–2.601.44–3.611.60–6.21
Shots on target
25%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.976.8011.77safe3.11–6.835.06–8.548.16–15.37safer2.62–7.324.59–9.017.21–16.33
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1917.2231.42safe10.27–18.1213.66–20.7823.93–38.90safer9.18–19.2112.70–21.7421.88–40.95
Shots in box
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4811.9520.43safe5.53–11.429.27–14.6314.80–26.05safer4.70–12.258.53–15.3713.24–27.62
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.528.56safe2.16–5.932.86–6.175.03–12.10safer1.62–6.472.37–6.663.99–13.13
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.786.0510.83safe2.57–7.004.05–8.056.61–15.04safer2.00–7.573.51–8.585.51–16.15
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.1857.15safe36.39–49.9750.36–63.93safer34.72–51.6448.69–65.60
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction416543959safe349–483476–609825–1093safer331–502459–627790–1128
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.8776.66safe60.84–68.9072.34–80.99safer59.55–70.1971.03–82.30
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8911.3222.21safe8.05–13.738.38–14.2716.43–27.99safer7.29–14.487.63–15.0214.92–29.50
Offsides
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.003.49safe0.33–2.650.91–3.091.24–5.74safer0.03–2.950.62–3.380.65–6.33
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.773.31safe0.49–2.590.64–2.891.13–5.49safer0.23–2.860.35–3.190.57–6.04
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.167.66safe3.06–5.931.60–4.714.66–10.65safer2.67–6.321.18–5.143.85–11.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 2.52 1.67–3.38 1.44–3.61 | 3.91 2.08–5.73 1.60–6.21 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.11–6.83 2.62–7.32 | 6.80 5.06–8.54 4.59–9.01 | 11.77 8.16–15.37 7.21–16.33 | 25% 65% |
| Total shots | 14.19 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 17.22 13.66–20.78 12.70–21.74 | 31.42 23.93–38.90 21.88–40.95 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 8.48 5.53–11.42 4.70–12.25 | 11.95 9.27–14.63 8.53–15.37 | 20.43 14.80–26.05 13.24–27.62 | 19% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 4.52 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 8.56 5.03–12.10 3.99–13.13 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 6.05 4.05–8.05 3.51–8.58 | 10.83 6.61–15.04 5.51–16.15 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 43.18 36.39–49.97 34.72–51.64 | 57.15 50.36–63.93 48.69–65.60 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–502 | 543 476–609 459–627 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.87 60.84–68.90 59.55–70.19 | 76.66 72.34–80.99 71.03–82.30 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.73 7.29–14.48 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 22.21 16.43–27.99 14.92–29.50 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.04 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.50 3.06–5.93 2.67–6.32 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 7.66 4.66–10.65 3.85–11.46 | 62% 13% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.