Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.831.063.88safe1.86–3.790.20–1.912.06–5.71safer1.61–4.040.00–2.141.58–6.19
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction8.293.9012.19safe6.43–10.152.16–5.648.59–15.80safer5.94–10.641.69–6.117.63–16.75
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction22.7811.3434.12safe18.85–26.707.77–14.9026.63–41.60safer17.76–27.796.82–15.8624.58–43.65
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction15.087.7222.80safe12.14–18.025.04–10.4017.18–28.42safer11.31–18.854.30–11.1415.61–29.99
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.188.63safe3.57–7.331.52–4.835.09–12.16safer3.02–7.881.03–5.324.06–13.20
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.773.8111.58safe5.55–9.981.81–5.817.37–15.79safer4.98–10.561.28–6.356.26–16.90
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1640.10safe53.37–66.9533.31–46.88safer51.70–68.6231.64–48.55
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction596382978safe529–663315–448844–1111safer511–681298–466808–1147
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction75.4070.18safe71.37–79.4365.85–74.50safer70.08–80.7264.54–75.81
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7811.5322.31safe7.94–13.628.58–14.4716.53–28.09safer7.19–14.377.83–15.2215.02–29.59
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.373.64safe1.10–3.420.28–2.471.38–5.89safer0.80–3.720.00–2.760.79–6.48
Yellow cards
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.823.14safe0.27–2.370.69–2.950.96–5.32safer0.00–2.640.40–3.240.40–5.88
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.535.157.67safe1.09–3.963.59–6.704.68–10.67safer0.70–4.353.17–7.133.87–11.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.83 1.86–3.79 1.61–4.04 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.88 2.06–5.71 1.58–6.19 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 8.29 6.43–10.15 5.94–10.64 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 12.19 8.59–15.80 7.63–16.75 | 87% |
| Total shots | 22.78 18.85–26.70 17.76–27.79 | 11.34 7.77–14.90 6.82–15.86 | 34.12 26.63–41.60 24.58–43.65 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 15.08 12.14–18.02 11.31–18.85 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 22.80 17.18–28.42 15.61–29.99 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.45 3.57–7.33 3.02–7.88 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 8.63 5.09–12.16 4.06–13.20 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 7.77 5.55–9.98 4.98–10.56 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 11.58 7.37–15.79 6.26–16.90 | 85% |
| Possession % | 60.16 53.37–66.95 51.70–68.62 | 40.10 33.31–46.88 31.64–48.55 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 596 529–663 511–681 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.40 71.37–79.43 70.08–80.72 | 70.18 65.85–74.50 64.54–75.81 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.94–13.62 7.19–14.37 | 11.53 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 22.31 16.53–28.09 15.02–29.59 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.64 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.40–5.88 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 5.15 3.59–6.70 3.17–7.13 | 7.67 4.68–10.67 3.87–11.48 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.