Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.042.99safe0.99–2.920.18–1.891.17–4.81safer0.73–3.170.00–2.120.69–5.29
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.719.48safe3.91–7.631.97–5.455.87–13.08safer3.42–8.121.50–5.924.92–14.04
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3410.8127.14safe12.41–20.267.24–14.3719.65–34.63safer11.32–21.356.28–15.3317.60–36.68
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.586.8618.45safe8.64–14.524.18–9.5512.82–24.07safer7.81–15.353.45–10.2811.26–25.64
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.807.25safe2.56–6.331.15–4.463.71–10.79safer2.02–6.870.66–4.952.68–11.82
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.314.0410.35safe4.10–8.522.04–6.056.14–14.57safer3.52–9.101.51–6.585.03–15.68
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.0541.88safe52.26–65.8435.10–48.67safer50.59–67.5133.42–50.34
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction509337846safe442–576271–404713–980safer424–594253–421677–1016
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction75.6068.18safe71.57–79.6363.86–72.50safer70.28–80.9262.55–73.81
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.4724.86safe9.56–15.239.53–15.4219.08–30.65safer8.80–15.998.78–16.1617.58–32.15
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.493.07safe0.43–2.750.39–2.580.82–5.33safer0.13–3.050.10–2.870.23–5.92
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.154.04safe0.84–2.941.02–3.281.86–6.21safer0.57–3.200.73–3.571.30–6.77
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.906.55safe1.22–4.092.34–5.453.56–9.54safer0.83–4.481.92–5.882.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.99–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 59% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.92–14.04 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.34 12.41–20.26 11.32–21.35 | 10.81 7.24–14.37 6.28–15.33 | 27.14 19.65–34.63 17.60–36.68 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.58 8.64–14.52 7.81–15.35 | 6.86 4.18–9.55 3.45–10.28 | 18.45 12.82–24.07 11.26–25.64 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 2.80 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.25 3.71–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.31 4.10–8.52 3.52–9.10 | 4.04 2.04–6.05 1.51–6.58 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 59.05 52.26–65.84 50.59–67.51 | 41.88 35.10–48.67 33.42–50.34 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–594 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.60 71.57–79.63 70.28–80.92 | 68.18 63.86–72.50 62.55–73.81 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 12.47 9.53–15.42 8.78–16.16 | 24.86 19.08–30.65 17.58–32.15 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.90 2.34–5.45 1.92–5.88 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 24% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+