DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.632.90safe0.30–2.230.78–2.491.08–4.72safer0.05–2.490.55–2.720.60–5.20
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.159.61safe2.60–6.323.41–6.896.00–13.21safer2.11–6.812.94–7.365.05–14.17
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7014.4027.10safe8.77–16.6210.84–17.9719.61–34.59safer7.68–17.719.88–18.9317.56–36.64
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.209.9118.10safe5.25–11.147.23–12.5912.48–23.73safer4.42–11.976.49–13.3310.91–25.29
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.464.588.04safe1.57–5.342.93–6.234.50–11.57safer1.03–5.882.44–6.733.47–12.61
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.435.399.82safe2.22–6.653.39–7.395.61–14.04safer1.64–7.222.86–7.924.50–15.14
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.4458.03safe35.65–49.2351.24–64.81safer33.98–50.9049.57–66.49
Passes
15%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction366487852safe298–433420–553719–986safer280–451403–571683–1022
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.8077.75safe61.77–69.8373.43–82.08safer60.48–71.1272.12–83.39
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5213.0824.60safe8.68–14.3610.13–16.0218.81–30.38safer7.93–15.129.38–16.7717.31–31.88
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.533.11safe0.42–2.750.44–2.620.86–5.37safer0.12–3.050.15–2.910.27–5.96
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.903.72safe0.77–2.870.77–3.031.54–5.90safer0.51–3.140.48–3.320.98–6.45
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.856.18safe1.89–4.761.30–4.413.19–9.17safer1.50–5.150.87–4.832.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.49 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.32 2.11–6.81 | 5.15 3.41–6.89 2.94–7.36 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.70 8.77–16.62 7.68–17.71 | 14.40 10.84–17.97 9.88–18.93 | 27.10 19.61–34.59 17.56–36.64 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.25–11.14 4.42–11.97 | 9.91 7.23–12.59 6.49–13.33 | 18.10 12.48–23.73 10.91–25.29 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 4.58 2.93–6.23 2.44–6.73 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.22–6.65 1.64–7.22 | 5.39 3.39–7.39 2.86–7.92 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 42.44 35.65–49.23 33.98–50.90 | 58.03 51.24–64.81 49.57–66.49 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 366 298–433 280–451 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 15% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.80 61.77–69.83 60.48–71.12 | 77.75 73.43–82.08 72.12–83.39 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 13.08 10.13–16.02 9.38–16.77 | 24.60 18.81–30.38 17.31–31.88 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.42–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.