Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.552.72safe0.20–2.140.69–2.400.89–4.54safer0.00–2.390.46–2.630.41–5.02
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.259.42safe2.31–6.033.51–6.995.81–13.02safer1.82–6.523.04–7.464.86–13.98
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3814.5626.93safe8.45–16.3010.99–18.1219.45–34.42safer7.36–17.3910.03–19.0817.40–36.47
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.019.7617.76safe5.06–10.957.08–12.4412.14–23.39safer4.23–11.786.34–13.1810.57–24.95
Blocked shots
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.474.718.18safe1.59–5.363.06–6.364.65–11.72safer1.05–5.902.57–6.863.61–12.75
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.519.84safe2.12–6.553.51–7.515.63–14.06safer1.55–7.122.98–8.044.52–15.16
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.3058.12safe35.51–49.0951.33–64.90safer33.84–50.7649.66–66.58
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction363482845safe296–430416–548711–979safer278–448398–566676–1014
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.8877.50safe60.85–68.9173.17–81.82safer59.56–70.2071.86–83.13
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8913.5425.43safe9.05–14.7310.60–16.4919.65–31.21safer8.29–15.489.85–17.2418.15–32.72
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.543.13safe0.42–2.740.45–2.630.87–5.38safer0.12–3.050.16–2.920.28–5.97
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.113.99safe0.83–2.930.98–3.241.81–6.17safer0.56–3.190.69–3.531.25–6.73
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.786.08safe1.86–4.731.23–4.343.08–9.07safer1.47–5.120.80–4.772.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 5.25 3.51–6.99 3.04–7.46 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.38 8.45–16.30 7.36–17.39 | 14.56 10.99–18.12 10.03–19.08 | 26.93 19.45–34.42 17.40–36.47 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.06–10.95 4.23–11.78 | 9.76 7.08–12.44 6.34–13.18 | 17.76 12.14–23.39 10.57–24.95 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 4.71 3.06–6.36 2.57–6.86 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 27% 60% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 42.30 35.51–49.09 33.84–50.76 | 58.12 51.33–64.90 49.66–66.58 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 278–448 | 482 416–548 398–566 | 845 711–979 676–1014 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.88 60.85–68.91 59.56–70.20 | 77.50 73.17–81.82 71.86–83.13 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.05–14.73 8.29–15.48 | 13.54 10.60–16.49 9.85–17.24 | 25.43 19.65–31.21 18.15–32.72 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.73 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.77 | 6.08 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.