Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.702.98safe0.31–2.250.85–2.551.16–4.80safer0.06–2.500.62–2.780.68–5.28
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.9310.27safe2.48–6.204.18–7.676.66–13.87safer1.99–6.693.72–8.135.70–14.83
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5615.0729.62safe10.63–18.4811.51–18.6322.14–37.11safer9.54–19.5710.55–19.5920.09–39.16
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1610.7119.87safe6.22–12.108.03–13.3914.24–25.49safer5.39–12.937.29–14.1212.68–27.06
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.357.99safe1.76–5.522.70–6.004.46–11.53safer1.21–6.072.21–6.503.42–12.56
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.8911.04safe2.94–7.373.89–7.896.83–15.26safer2.37–7.943.36–8.425.72–16.36
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.1954.60safe38.40–51.9847.81–61.38safer36.73–53.6546.14–63.05
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction391465856safe324–458398–531722–989safer305–476381–549686–1025
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.5972.55safe60.57–68.6268.22–76.87safer59.27–69.9266.91–78.18
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4910.6122.10safe8.66–14.337.67–13.5516.32–27.89safer7.90–15.096.92–14.3014.82–29.39
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.813.51safe0.54–2.860.72–2.911.26–5.77safer0.24–3.160.43–3.190.67–6.36
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.833.88safe1.00–3.100.70–2.961.70–6.06safer0.73–3.360.41–3.251.14–6.61
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.096.72safe2.19–5.061.54–4.653.72–9.71safer1.80–5.441.11–5.082.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.70 0.85–2.55 0.62–2.78 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 5.93 4.18–7.67 3.72–8.13 | 10.27 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.83 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 14.56 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 15.07 11.51–18.63 10.55–19.59 | 29.62 22.14–37.11 20.09–39.16 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 10.71 8.03–13.39 7.29–14.12 | 19.87 14.24–25.49 12.68–27.06 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.07 | 4.35 2.70–6.00 2.21–6.50 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.56 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.89 3.89–7.89 3.36–8.42 | 11.04 6.83–15.26 5.72–16.36 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 45.19 38.40–51.98 36.73–53.65 | 54.60 47.81–61.38 46.14–63.05 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 305–476 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.59 60.57–68.62 59.27–69.92 | 72.55 68.22–76.87 66.91–78.18 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.66–14.33 7.90–15.09 | 10.61 7.67–13.55 6.92–14.30 | 22.10 16.32–27.89 14.82–29.39 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.19 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.62 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.44 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.08 | 6.72 3.72–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 50% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.