DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.233.20safe1.00–2.940.37–2.081.37–5.02safer0.75–3.190.15–2.310.90–5.50
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.669.35safe3.82–7.551.92–5.405.74–12.95safer3.33–8.041.45–5.874.78–13.91
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2511.4528.70safe13.32–21.177.89–15.0221.21–36.19safer12.23–22.266.93–15.9819.16–38.24
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.767.6518.42safe7.82–13.714.97–10.3412.80–24.04safer6.99–14.544.24–11.0711.23–25.61
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.402.898.30safe3.52–7.281.24–4.554.76–11.83safer2.98–7.830.75–5.043.73–12.87
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.844.1110.95safe4.62–9.052.11–6.116.73–15.16safer4.05–9.621.58–6.645.63–16.27
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.5242.39safe51.73–65.3135.60–49.17safer50.06–66.9833.93–50.84
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction531382913safe464–598316–449780–1047safer446–616298–466744–1083
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction70.4867.74safe66.45–74.5163.42–72.07safer65.16–75.8062.11–73.38
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6012.4022.00safe6.76–12.449.45–15.3416.21–27.78safer6.00–13.198.71–16.0914.71–29.28
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.393.19safe0.65–2.970.29–2.480.94–5.45safer0.35–3.270.01–2.770.35–6.04
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.863.12safe0.21–2.310.73–2.990.94–5.30safer0.00–2.580.44–3.280.38–5.86
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.966.57safe1.17–4.042.41–5.523.58–9.56safer0.78–4.431.98–5.952.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.00–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 55% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.55 3.33–8.04 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.91 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.25 13.32–21.17 12.23–22.26 | 11.45 7.89–15.02 6.93–15.98 | 28.70 21.21–36.19 19.16–38.24 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.76 7.82–13.71 6.99–14.54 | 7.65 4.97–10.34 4.24–11.07 | 18.42 12.80–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 5.40 3.52–7.28 2.98–7.83 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.73–12.87 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.84 4.62–9.05 4.05–9.62 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.58–6.64 | 10.95 6.73–15.16 5.63–16.27 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.52 51.73–65.31 50.06–66.98 | 42.39 35.60–49.17 33.93–50.84 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 531 464–598 446–616 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 913 780–1047 744–1083 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.48 66.45–74.51 65.16–75.80 | 67.74 63.42–72.07 62.11–73.38 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 9.60 6.76–12.44 6.00–13.19 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.71–16.09 | 22.00 16.21–27.78 14.71–29.28 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.86 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.96 2.41–5.52 1.98–5.95 | 6.57 3.58–9.56 2.77–10.38 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+