Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.163.09safe0.96–2.900.31–2.021.27–4.91safer0.71–3.150.08–2.240.79–5.39
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.599.20safe3.74–7.471.85–5.345.59–12.80safer3.25–7.961.38–5.804.64–13.76
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0711.2228.29safe13.14–20.997.66–14.7820.80–35.77safer12.05–22.096.70–15.7418.75–37.82
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.647.7418.38safe7.70–13.585.06–10.4212.76–24.00safer6.87–14.414.32–11.1611.19–25.57
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.008.43safe3.54–7.311.35–4.654.89–11.96safer3.00–7.850.86–5.153.86–13.00
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.714.1510.86safe4.50–8.922.15–6.156.64–15.07safer3.92–9.501.61–6.685.53–16.18
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.6442.53safe51.85–65.4335.75–49.32safer50.18–67.1034.08–50.99
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction522378900safe455–589311–444766–1034safer437–608294–462731–1069
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction69.9167.16safe65.88–73.9462.83–71.48safer64.59–75.2361.52–72.79
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9912.7322.73safe7.16–12.839.79–15.6816.95–28.51safer6.40–13.599.04–16.4315.44–30.01
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.413.22safe0.65–2.970.32–2.510.97–5.47safer0.34–3.270.03–2.790.38–6.06
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.073.37safe0.25–2.350.94–3.201.19–5.55safer0.00–2.610.65–3.490.63–6.10
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.856.44safe1.15–4.032.29–5.413.45–9.43safer0.77–4.411.87–5.832.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.47 3.25–7.96 | 3.59 1.85–5.34 1.38–5.80 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.64–13.76 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.07 13.14–20.99 12.05–22.09 | 11.22 7.66–14.78 6.70–15.74 | 28.29 20.80–35.77 18.75–37.82 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.64 7.70–13.58 6.87–14.41 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 18.38 12.76–24.00 11.19–25.57 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.31 3.00–7.85 | 3.00 1.35–4.65 0.86–5.15 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.86–13.00 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.71 4.50–8.92 3.92–9.50 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.61–6.68 | 10.86 6.64–15.07 5.53–16.18 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.64 51.85–65.43 50.18–67.10 | 42.53 35.75–49.32 34.08–50.99 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 522 455–589 437–608 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.91 65.88–73.94 64.59–75.23 | 67.16 62.83–71.48 61.52–72.79 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.16–12.83 6.40–13.59 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 22.73 16.95–28.51 15.44–30.01 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.34–3.27 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.79 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.61 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.63–6.10 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.03 0.77–4.41 | 3.85 2.29–5.41 1.87–5.83 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+